Geospatial Analysis of Crime and Developmental Disparities in Maiduguri and Environs: Implications for Post Conflict Reconstruction
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.59890/ijgsr.v4i4.203Keywords:
GIS, Post Conflict Reconstruction, Crime Hotspots, Spatial Inequality, Maiduguri, NigeriaAbstract
Since 2009, Maiduguri and surrounding communities have experienced profound socio spatial disruptions from the Boko Haram insurgency. Although territorial stability has improved in recent years, crime persistence and uneven development continue to undermine recovery. This multidisciplinary study applies GIS, remote sensing, spatial statistics, household surveys (n = 480), and key informant interviews to examine the spatial distribution of crime and developmental inequalities across Maiduguri Metropolitan Council and adjacent LGAs (Jere, Konduga, Mafa). Hotspot mapping (Getis Ord Gi), spatial autocorrelation (Moran’s I), accessibility analysis, and regression modeling reveal statistically significant clustering of crime in peri urban and informal settlements characterized by infrastructural deprivation, high population density, and weak institutional presence. Qualitative findings highlight institutional fragmentation in post conflict governance and reliance on informal security actors in peripheral wards. The study concludes that spatially blind reconstruction risks reinforcing inequality and insecurity and recommends geospatially informed, equity oriented planning as a foundation for sustainable peacebuilding and urban resilience in Maiduguri
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